Sam Morris / Las Vegas Sun
Mi Familia Vota canvasser Izack Tenorio knocks on an apartment door Tuesday, Oct. 30, 2012.
Wednesday, Oct. 31, 2012 | 2 a.m.
Izack Tenorio spends his days splitting time between phone banks and door-to-door canvassing.
The 21-year-old works for Mi Familia Vota, a civic organization geared toward increasing Hispanic voter participation, and on Tuesday, he knocked on doors in a quiet neighborhood near Alta Drive and Decatur Boulevard.
It is noon, and few people were home. At his first stop, he asked for Joann, who is listed at the address as a registered voter. Tenorio is told Joann is sleeping, and he leaves a flier with information about early voting.
Not a single person comes to the door in any of the other homes Tenorio visits on the block. Behind him, two other canvassers from Obama for America also are working the street, knocking on the same doors that were unanswered minutes ago and leaving similar information about where and when to vote.
Political pundits, campaign organizers and national magazines have declared 2012 the year of the Hispanic voter. Voter registration numbers and enthusiasm is up, and now all of those who invested in the wake-up call for this once-dormant demographic want to make sure it does not hit the snooze button on Election Day.
“I worked registering voters in 2008 and 2010, and I’ve seen a lot of enthusiasm this year,” Tenorio said. “There are a lot of groups on the ground in Nevada encouraging Hispanics to get involved, and I’ve seen whole families come into our offices to all register together. I think people are starting to embrace their role and the choice they can participate in. Now, we just have to make sure they take that final step of getting to the polls.”
Mi Familia Vota came into this election cycle with the goal of registering 11,000 voters in Nevada. A few months in, the organization met that benchmark and set another one. That one was broken, too. More than 19,000 voters, the vast majority of them Hispanics, were registered, said Leo Murrieta, state director for Mi Familia Vota.
In a nationwide poll, Latino Decisions found that 8 percent of Hispanic voters had voted early as of Oct. 29 and 87 percent of Hispanic voters said they were “almost certain” to vote. Also, 45 percent of the demographic said they were more excited to vote this year than in 2008, when 84 percent of registered Hispanics voted. Notably, the percentage of Hispanics who said they were certain to vote and more enthusiastic than in 2008 have both increased in the weeks leading up to the election.
In the presidential race, Republican candidate Mitt Romney would like to do better than the 20 percent of Hispanic voters John McCain won in 2008 in Nevada and the 31 percent nationwide. McCain’s numbers were a steep dropoff from the 44 percent of Hispanic voters George W. Bush took nationwide in 2004. The latest Latino Decision tracking poll has President Barack Obama with a 73 to 21 lead among Hispanic voters nationally.
After neglecting the on-the-ground work needed to build support in the Hispanic community for much of the 2000s, the GOP has made a concerted effort this election season to increase engagement.
“The biggest difference in the approach toward Hispanic voters this cycle is the organization and outreach on the GOP side,” said UNLV political scientist David Damore, who added Republicans were targeting small-business owners and social conservatives. “Previously, all the organization was largely on the Democratic side. ... McCain didn’t do anything here, and that’s when you started to really see all the work Democrats had laid over prior election cycles pay off.”
Elsa Barnhill, the Republican National Committee’s Nevada director of Hispanic outreach, adhering to the GOP’s national strategy, immediately started work on a network of bilingual volunteers when she took the post in April.
“This year we’ve had a really heavy focus on voter contact,” Barnhill said from an east Las Vegas Romney campaign office that was opened in September with a visit from Craig Romney, the Spanish-speaking son of the former Massachusetts governor.
“It seems kind of simple, but you’d be surprised. In prior years, Hispanic outreach actually, a lot of times, consisted of attending events, festivals in the community. Of course I’m not downplaying the importance of those. We’ve certainly done those things, as well, this year, but we’ve focused really aggressively on contacting all Hispanic voters,” said Barnhill, who set up a volunteer staff of 400 bilingual volunteers who could staff phone banks, contact voters and be liaisons for Romney in the community.
At a recent Romney event, Hispanic supporters filled out postcards in Spanish explaining why they supported the GOP candidate. Those postcards are being mailed this week to voters who need to be swayed.
“As far as the Republican Party goes, each cycle we’ll show we’re committed to winning the Latino vote, to swaying people and to having them listen to our side. And you’ll see more and more involvement every cycle,” Barnhill said, noting the RNC started running Spanish-language ads as early as January.
Much like the GOP strategy that relies on tried-and-true personal interactions, the Obama campaign and its supporters are placing the most importance on real contact.
“It’s all part of the model that Obama for America started in 2008,” said Andres Ramirez, president of political consulting group Ramirez Group and the vice chair of the Democratic National Committee’s Hispanic Caucus. “It’s not just having all of the offices across the country; it’s also having them staffed with volunteers making phone calls and knocking on doors. The evaluation metric of campaigns is not doors knocked on but the number of conversations you’ve had. That’s the single-most valuable metric.”
Both sides have flooded Spanish-language media with advertisements, setting records for spending in the process.
According to analysts Kantar Media, more than $4 million has been spent in 2012 in Las Vegas on political ads running on Univision and Telemundo, compared with a combined $600,000 spent on political ads at those two TV stations in 2008.
Ramirez said the campaign had moved to integrate more social media into its outreach efforts as more and more people use services like Twitter and Facebook, but one-on-one interactions still are the bricks with which a winning campaign is built.
Hispanic voters are not just getting attention from the presidential candidates and their respective parties, but several outside groups, as well.
Fernando Romero, president of the Las Vegas civic engagement group Hispanics in Politics and a local coordinator for National Council of La Raza Action Fund’s efforts to register voters, said he believed enthusiasm was equal to 2008 but the increase in political groups had helped cast a wider net.
“I see more organizations being involved on both sides of the aisle,” Romero said. “About four years ago, we didn’t have as many conservative organizations out there that we do now. There’s more of both conservative and progressive organizations, and they’ve been very active in the community.”
In Nevada, all of the outreach has seemingly paid off in the registration numbers. According to an analysis by Ramirez using Clark County Election Department data for April to October, the number of registered voters with Spanish surnames has increased 37 percent this year compared with an overall registration gain of 26 percent.
Voters with Spanish surnames are turning out to early voting stations in record numbers, but so are all Nevadans. It is unclear if Nevada’s Hispanics will surpass the 15 percent of the electorate they have constituted in the most recent elections, but the raw numbers will be higher.
All of the analysts and campaign organizers agree the Hispanic electorate is here to stay as an influential force.
“I think is going to be an ongoing trend,” Romero said of the rapid growth of the Hispanic electorate and its influence in politics. “Hispanic voters are realizing that their vote does count. We are getting more involved and are becoming more of a factor in the outcome of elections every year. I believe it’s going to stay that way. ... More and more groups are reaching out and, as a relatively young demographic, the number of Latinos voting will only grow. Our interest will not wane.”







For Hispanics,the main thing to know about Romney is that he is going to resume the deportations that Obama suspended earlier this year.
Last June President Obama announced a program that would let some children of illegal immigrants avoid deportation. Those eligible would be:
'individuals must have been brought to the United States before they turned 16 and be younger than 30 to qualify for deferred action. They must have lived in the country for at least five consecutive years with no criminal history and they must have graduated from a U.S. high school, earned a GED or served in the military. This policy also enables illegal immigrants who meet these qualifications to apply for a work permit that will be good for two years and have no limits upon renewal. While this is not a path directly towards citizenship, it does allow an estimated 800,000 illegal immigrants to remain in the United States for extended periods without threat of deportation'
http://www.dailycal.org/2012/06/15/obama...
If elected,Mitt Romney says he will end the program:
'An immigration stance that Mitt Romney took with little fanfare this month has created turmoil for many young immigrants living in the country illegally, lawyers and immigrant advocates say. Mr. Romney said that if elected president, he would end the program that offers hundreds of thousands of those immigrants two-year reprieves from deportation, which the Obama administration began in August'
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/21/us/pol...
Well jumbo its a good thing that these 800,000 illegals can't vote. Or do they?
A few more days until these endless political commercials go away. Although he's picked up on the polls I just don't see Romney winning. His 47% comment still rings out along with a running mate who's just to the right of Atilla the Hun on women's reproductive rights. Like Paul Ryan is going to go thru 9 months of pregnancy and ruin his work out physique if he was a rape victim. Ya.
Republicans are going to have to find a way to turn around some of those 47%.
The immigrant issue is a little more tricky. We already have too many problems to allow anyone to stay here who is not here legally. I sympathize with these people, but your parents broke the law. If my father goes to jail for committing a crime, he loses his job. I, as his child will suffer the consequences of those actions. THAT IS LIFE. This idea that the children shouldn't suffer at the hands of their parents wrong doing just isn't realistic. They will and do suffer. We cannot not bend and change policy.
The ruthless Chameleon's that commandeered the Democrat party are liars. Everyone in this country, especially Latinos and women are well aware of the war that juvenile journalist in the media and Obama's Chameleon Party have placed on them. Look at what they done to Hillary Clinton and Sarah Palin, both of which operate basically from the center of their party. And the outright lie about comprehensive immigration reform in the FIRST YEAR. They had The House, The Senate and The Presidency and never even brought it to the floor. A vote against these Chameleon liars is not against the Democrat Party, it's a vote for America.
Romney is flailing. After supporting SB 1070, Jan Brewer and Racist Sheriff Joe Arpaio, he is now trying to be an amigo to Hispanics. It's time to show Romney how much hispanics, latinos, central americans, south americans and mexican-americans appreciate the racism of his dear old GOP friends.
Both Dems and Repubs need an endless supply of cheap labor and voters to exploit. Slavery is what Harry and Barry want though.
Obama promised immigration reform would be a priority in his first year (when the Dems had control of both houses of Congress & the WH). How'd that work out? He played Hispanics then and he's trying to play them again.
Romney talks a hard line about border security and no amnesty, but he's also made it clear he's not going to suddenly order ICE to start mass roundups or go back on Obama's quasi-amnesty effort (despite it probably being illegal to begin with). Unlike Obama, he will work WITH Congress to streamline the process, secure the borders both ways, deport the predators, and come up with a fair & reasonable way to integrate those who are here illegally and seek to remain (especially those with children who have grown up here). And he will have the support of most of the GOP and enough Dems to actually get it done!
Comment removed by moderator. Same (or similar) comment posted on multiple stories.
When Obama hit the Whitehouse, his priority was to keep the economic crisis free fall from becoming the Greatest Depression, which, in fact, was a very real possibility. He and his team succeeded.
Obamacare was the inital step in working toward the necessary reforms to the healthcare system and costs that effect the lives of everyone, including Hispanics. It was necessary to do that while he had a cooperative Congress. It needs improvement.
After that, the Tea/Republicans came to control the House and the resulting dysfunction has prevented Obama from moving through with many of his goals, immigration reform for one. They did everything the could to obstruct for partisan gain.
He has done what was within his power to do for the children of undocumented immigrants. Hopefully, it is a down payment on more if he has a second term and a cooperative Congress.
The ICE actions focused on deporting criminals, drug dealers, and other predators. This is not an action that many Hispanics feel is an injustice. It protects many hardworking members and families in the community.
However, true immigration reform is needed and at this point in time, given the huge number of undocumented Hispanics, I believe a temporary amnesty is in order for all who have lived in the US for a set period of time, without a criminal record.
There should also be a pathway to citizenship within an established period of time for those receiving temporary amnesty. If citizenship is not acted upon, the individual loses amnesty and returns to an undocumented status and is subject to deportation. Good faith is a two-way commitment.
Additionally, there must be strong laws related to companies hiring future undocumented workers. They must use e-verify or some such program, and be severely penalized for hiring undocumented workers in the future, with fines and time to be served in prison. If this doesn't happen, employers will continue to hire new undocumented workers when the economy improves.
One last thing is needed. The US government needs to do all in it's power help people rehabilitate from their drug addictions. We must address the crime from across our border that has increasingly moved into the US.
There are calls for legalizing drugs but I don't feel that is the solution for addicts, forget profiting from taxation as a motive. People are what counts and they need to know that.
For all this to happen, we will need a functional Congress. It is not all up to the President, who has limits to what he can do on his own.
Such a plan will never come from Tea/Republicans. Hispanics know that. Their hope can only reside with Obama and Democrats in Congress.
The Hispanics that tend toward Republicans are Cuban refugees who are automatically legal if they touch their feet on a US sand or soil, and some successful Hispanic business owners.
I thought of one more thing that could be attached to immigration reform.
It is time for an new official US ID, with a photo, legal status and finger prints for everyone. This could be used for many purposes. Our Social Security numbers must also receive new security status and not be sold to foreign business entities.
In fact, we now need new, secure Social Security numbers.