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Polls: Angle’s numbers weak with GOP base, needs multi-way field to win

Monday, March 14, 2011 | 2:06 p.m.

As Rep. Dean Heller prepares to enter the U.S. Senate race, causing many dominoes to fall, the question of what Sharron Angle will do is weighing on a lot of minds besides the congressman’s.

I have often said Angle would be the favorite for Heller’s seat, but recent polling data suggests she has a real base problem, detritus perhaps from her failed bid against the bête noire of the Republican faithful, a k a Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.

The data is indisputable: I have seen three polls during the last few days, all of which show Angle’s numbers are not healthy among Republicans. It seems clear, barring the unexpected (which should never be barred where Angle is concerned), that she cannot win a straight-up race against any prominent Republican, whether it’s Heller in the Senate race or, for instance, Lt. Gov. Brian Krolicki in the Congressional District Two race. (Angle may have a better matrix in CD2, where ex-U.S.S. Cole Commander Kirk Lippold and state GOP boss Mark Amodei appear poised to enter.)

I have seen the data for the three polls but I am not at liberty to release them. Suffice it so say, they were all taken recently and they all show basically the same thing: Angle’s negatives are soaring among those who at one time swooned over her.

Buyer’s remorse? Bitter disappointment? Blinders removed?

Whatever the reason, Angle's decision to run (or not) and what office to seek must be tempered (or should be, at least) with the knowledge she begins in a much weaker position than she did when she ran in 2010, with familiarity now breeding possibly fatal contempt. Yes, it’s only March 2011 and no one has a better work ethic. But while I still make Angle a slight favorite if it’s a four- or five-way field in CD2, she amassed quite a bit of baggage in 2010 and her opponents may start recycling some of those Harry Reid spots if she gets in.

And a question that has to be worrying some Republicans: If this district isn't altered too much, or loses any Republicans, could an Angle primary win give the Democrats a chance to take this seat?

That sound you hear is GOP National Committeeman Bob List trying to find some alternative race for Angle. Good luck.

Discussion: 16 comments so far...

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  1. Nooooooo.

    Say it isn't so!

    I want Sharron Angle to run for something to become the Republican/Tea Party darling again!

    Guaranteed at least a 20 point margin of defeat for her.

    Republicans! Get her in there before she becomes a paid political consultant on Social Security for Fox PORNO (Political Organization-Republican News Only) News!

  2. This is just a conspiracy by the left wing media to stop Angle. She is the best candidate. I'm sending her 86 cents.

  3. Let 'er run. Might still be a little rubber left on the ol' retread.

  4. Look at the ratings of the local hate talk stations, going down.

  5. Run Sharon Run! Hate needs a spokesperson.

  6. What veteran who usually votes Republican would vote for SA, given she wants to eliminate the VA?

    What senior would vote for her, given her ideas about eliminating social security?

    What police officer could vote for her, after her claims of "Second Amendment remedies" to stop the legally-elected government?

    What woman in her right mind would vote for a woman who thinks women should be forced to have a child produced by rape or incest? Making "lemonade out of lemons" as she put it.

    Like Palin, Angle demonstrates the shallowness of the American political system in the media age, and the dangers that an uneducated citizenry poses to our freedom and prosperity.

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