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August 21, 2014

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Sports books anoint Broncos as Super Bowl contenders with Peyton Manning

Addition of Manning will stimulate action on the Broncos

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ASSOCIATED PRESS

Indianapolis Colts quarterback Peyton Manning, left, chats with Denver Broncos quarterback Jake Plummer after the Broncos’ 37-24 victory in an NFL exhibiiton contest in Denver on Saturday, Aug., 27, 2005.

Odds to win 2013 Super Bowl

  • Green Bay — 7-to-1
  • New England — 8-to-1
  • New Orleans — 9-to-1
  • Houston — 10-to-1
  • Denver — 12-to-1
  • Philadelphia — 12-to-1
  • San Francisco — 12-to-1
  • Baltimore — 15-to-1
  • Pittsburgh — 16-to-1
  • New York Giants — 18-to-1
  • San Diego — 20-to-1
  • Dallas — 20-to-1
  • Detroit — 20-to-1
  • Miami — 25-to-1
  • Atlanta — 28-to-1
  • New York Jets — 30-to-1
  • Chicago — 30-to-1
  • Tennessee — 30-to-1
  • Seattle — 35-to-1
  • Cincinnati — 40-to-1
  • Arizona — 40-to-1
  • Oakland — 45-to-1
  • Kansas City — 50-to-1
  • Carolina — 55-to-1
  • Washington — 60-to-1
  • Minnesota — 75-to-1
  • St. Louis — 75-to-1
  • Tampa Bay — 90-to-1
  • Buffalo — 100-to-1
  • Cleveland — 100-to-1
  • Indianapolis — 100-to-1
  • Jacksonville — 150-to-1
  • Numbers from Lucky's sports books

The influence Peyton Manning holds over Las Vegas sports books hasn’t waned.

As soon as news of Manning’s intention to sign with the Denver Broncos spread Monday morning, sports books scrambled to adjust their future odds on which team would win the 2013 Super Bowl.

Local oddsmakers now see the Broncos as the fourth or fifth most likely team to emerge as NFL champions next season. Less than two months ago, Denver was 18th.

“There will be no bargains on Denver winning it all now,” said Lucky’s sports book director Jimmy Vaccaro. “It’s very apparent that we’re going to get a lot more money on Denver with the Peyton signing. I relish anything that creates interest. And this might be the biggest free-agent signing of all time.”

The LVH Superbook lowered the Broncos future odds to 10-to-1. Denver was as high as 50-to-1 in February when it looked like Tim Tebow was its quarterback for the foreseeable future.

Afterthought franchises like the Carolina Panthers and Miami Dolphins had lower prices than the Broncos. Now the Green Bay Packers (5-to-1), New England Patriots (7-to-1) and New Orleans Saints (8-to-1) are the only teams ahead of the Broncos at the Superbook.

Lucky’s — which runs books at the Riviera, Terrible’s, the Plaza and The D Las Vegas — altered Denver’s odds but not as drastically. The Broncos are down to 12-to-1 after being 40-to-1 during the week of Super Bowl 46.

At 10-to-1, the Houston Texans are also ahead of Denver at Lucky’s. The Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers share the 12-to-1 price.

“It seems like every year we go through a situation like this in free agency,” Vaccaro said. “I think last year, it was with the Eagles and you saw what they did — nothing.”

Vaccaro said he always thought Denver was one of the three most probable landing spots for Manning. But not everyone felt that confident.

According to R.J. Bell of Pregame.com, seven teams were favored over Denver to land Manning last month. Although Nevada sports books aren’t legally permitted to post proposition wagers on where a player will sign, offshore shops listed Denver as high as +2500 (risking $1 to win $25) to become Manning’s team.

The situation intrigued local sports bettors. Sports books took more action than usual at this time of the year on future odds to win next year’s Super Bowl as gamblers tried to predict where Manning would wind up.

“I like it when they’re guessing on seven teams and he can only play for one during the season,” Vaccaro said.

The Broncos are 5-to-1 to win the AFC, meaning oddsmakers believe the New England Patriots are the only team more likely than Denver to play for the Super Bowl next year in New Orleans.

Case Keefer can be reached at 948-2790 or [email protected]. Follow Case on Twitter at twitter.com/casekeefer.

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  1. I don't know about this. The Broncos are getting damaged goods. I imagine Peyton evaluated his prospective offensive lines in making his decision, among other factors. Maybe it wasn't a factor. They let Tebow go, Manning gets hit just right, & then where will the Broncos be? Back to 40 to 1.

    Maybe there should be odds on how long Manning will last?