Currently: 79° | Complete forecast | Log in

UFC on FUEL TV 4 breakdown, betting odds and picks

Chris Weidman a narrow favorite over Mark Munoz in middleweight main event

Image

Darryl Dyck / AP

Chris Weidman, left, of Baldwin, N.Y., celebrates his win over Jesse Bongfeldt, of Kenora, Ont., by tap out in the first round of their middleweigh mixed martial arts bout at UFC 131, Saturday, June 11, 2011, in Vancouver, British, Columbia.

There’s no time to rest and take in what last weekend’s momentous UFC 148 meant to the sport of mixed martial arts, not with the way the UFC is currently constructed.

Four days after its biggest event of the year, the UFC returns with another card. UFC on FUEL TV 4 goes down Wednesday night in San Jose, Calif.

It’s an event that carries a strong connection to UFC 148, where middleweight champion Anderson Silva scored a second-round TKO victory over Chael Sonnen. Silva’s next opponent could come out of the UFC on FUEL TV 4 main event, where veteran Mark Munoz (12-2 MMA, 7-2 UFC) takes on rising Chris Weidman (8-0 MMA, 4-0 UFC).

The 34-year old Munoz is highly likely to snag a championship bout with a victory, as he was originally booked for a title eliminator against Sonnen earlier this year before pulling out with an injury. But oddsmakers like the 28-year old Weidman to spoil the party, as he’s a -145 (risking $1.45 to win $1) with Munoz coming back at +115 (risking $1 to win $1.15).

Weidman has gone undefeated in four fights since signing with the UFC a year-and-a-half ago with two unanimous decisions and two first-round submissions. Munoz is on a four-fight win streak of his own with two victories coming by unanimous decision and two via knockout.

Both have college wrestling backgrounds — Munoz at Oklahoma State and Weidman at Hofstra — so it may come down to who can excel more in the striking and grappling portions of the bout.

Pick: Weidman by decision

Check below for a rundown of the other 10 fights as well as betting odds and picks for the card, which airs on FUEL TV at 5 after preliminary bouts stream on facebook.

 

Light heavyweight bout: James Te Huna (14-5 MMA, 3-1 UFC) vs. Joey Beltran (13-7 MMA, 3-4 UFC)

Line: Te Huna -345, Beltran +275

Matchup: This is an early favorite for Fight of the Night, as the two sluggers have combined for 21 knockouts in their careers. They can both take a punch, too, as they’ve only lost by knockout one time combined. That time was January, however, when Lavar Johnson finished Beltran in the first round, which resulted in “The Mexecutioner’s” release from the UFC. He got a call to come back less than six months later after dropping to light heavyweight.

Pick: Te Huna by decision

 

Welterweight bout: Aaron Simpson (11-3 MMA, 6-3 UFC) vs. Kenny Robertson (11-1 MMA, 0-1 UFC)

Line: Simpson -300, Robertson +230

Matchup: Simpson was supposed to face hometown favorite Jon Fitch, who had to pull out with an injury. In Fitch’s place steps another grinder in Robertson. Expect a wrestling match in Simpson’s first fight at welterweight.

Pick: Simpson by decision

 

Middleweight bout: Karlos Vemola (9-2 MMA, 2-2 UFC) vs. Francis Carmont (18-7 MMA, 2-0 UFC)

Line: Vemola +150, Carmont -180

Matchup: Carmont will plan to test Vemola’s chin with his striking. Vemola will try to take Carmont to the ground with his wrestling, something Carmont has stuggled with in the past.

Pick: Vemola by decision

 

Bantamweight bout: T.J. Dillashaw (5-1 MMA, 1-1 UFC) vs. Vaughan Lee (12-7-1 MMA, 1-1 UFC)

Line: Dillashaw -375, Lee +285

Matchup: Team Alpha Male’s Dillashaw has seen his MMA game come together rapidly since graduating from Cal-State Fullerton, where he wrestled. He can’t make any mistakes on the ground against Lee, who showed off his fortitude in submissions by slapping an arm bar on heavily-favored Norifumi “Kid” Yamamoto at UFC 144.

Pick: Dillashaw by TKO

 

Lightweight bout: Rafael dos Anjos (16-6 MMA, 5-4 UFC) vs. Anthony Njokuani (15-6 MMA, 2-2 UFC)

Line: dos Anjos -175, Njokuani +145

Matchup: Njokuani and dos Anjos are both smack in the middle of the 155-pound division. Njokuani is capable of being one of the division’s most exciting fighters when an opponent is willing to stand with him. It’s doubtful dos Anjos, a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt, will take that approach.

Pick: dos Anjos by submission

 

Bantamweight bout: Damacio Page (15-7 MMA, 0-2 UFC) vs. Alex Caceres (6-5 MMA, 1-3 UFC)

Line: Page -165, Caceres +135

Matchup: A job is on the line in this one. Page hasn’t won a fight since 2009, while another loss would make the man nicknamed “Bruce Leroy” the only fighter in the UFC with a .500 MMA record.

Pick: Caceres by decision

 

Flyweight bout: Chris Cariaso (13-3 MMA, 3-1 UFC) vs. Josh Ferguson (12-4 MMA, 0-1 UFC)

Line: Cariaso -345, Ferguson +265

Matchup: Both of these fighters go down to the UFC’s new 125-pound weight division after logging time in the 135-pound class previously. Cariaso should have a noticeable speed advantage, but Ferguson’s power is capable of changing a fight at any moment.

Pick: Cariaso by decision

 

Middleweight bout: Rafael Natal (14-3-1 MMA, 2-1-1 UFC) vs. Andrew Craig (7-0 MMA, 1-0 UFC)

Line: Natal +150, Craig -200

Matchup: “Sapo” owns one of the more surprising two-fight win streaks in the UFC as the Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt spent his first year in the octagon without a victory. He’ll have the submission edge, but Craig should have an advantage in wrestling and striking.

Pick: Craig by decision

 

Welterweight bout: Marcelo Guimaraes (7-0-1 MMA, 0-0 UFC) vs. Dan Stittgen (7-2 MMA, 0-1 UFC)

Line: Guimaraes -345, Stittgen +265

Matchup: Guimaraes was a Jungle Fights champion and one of Brazil’s top prospects. Submissions are his strong suit, a trait he shares with the Chicago-based Stittgen.

Pick: Guimaraes by TKO

 

Bantamweight bout: Raphael Assuncao (16-4 MMA, 1-1 UFC) vs. Issei Tamura (7-2 MMA, 1-0 UFC)

Line: Assuncao -200, Tamura +150

Matchup: Tamura, a Japanese fighter the UFC signed for its Tokyo card earlier this year, drops to bantamweight after winning his octagon debut with a knockout over Tiequan Zhang at featherweight. It’s a transition Assuncao knows well, as he made his bantamweight debut by defeating Johnny Eduardo last year at UFC 134.

Pick: Assuncao by submission

Case Keefer can be reached at 948-2790 or case.keefer@lasvegassun.com. Follow Case on Twitter at twitter.com/casekeefer.

Post a comment

Commenting requires registration.

Comments are moderated by Las Vegas Sun editors. Our goal is not to limit the discussion, but rather to elevate it. Comments should be relevant and contain no abusive language. Comments that are off-topic, vulgar, profane or include personal attacks will be removed. Full comments policy.

If you would like to submit your comment as a letter to the editor, you may submit it here.

UFC 158
Nick Diaz fails to back up years worth of talk

UFC 158 A welterweight title fight that felt incredibly different wound up remarkably the same. Georges St. Pierre manhandled nemesis Nick Diaz with his wrestling. St. Pierre won every round on every judges' scorecard in Montreal for his sixth straight unanimous-decision victory. Diaz had preached his superiority over St. Pierre for years, but when he finally got his chance, he looked as helpless as all the other challengers to the 170-pound division's throne in the last six years. St. Pierre's consistency continued to amaze. Now it's on to Johny Hendricks, who defeated Carlos Condit in the evening's co-main event. Could he be the one to finally threaten St. Pierre?

Main Card Results
WinnerLoserMethod
Georges St. PierreNick DiazUnanimous Decision
Johny HendricksCarlos ConditUnanimous Decision
Jake EllenbergerNate MarquardtKnockout
Chris CamozziNick RingSplit Decision
Mike RicciColin FletcherUnanimous Decision

Fight Schedule
DateEventHeadlining MatchLocation
May 25 UFC 160 Cain Velasquez vs. Antonio "Bigfoot" Silva Las Vegas: MGM Grand Garden Arena
June 8 UFC on FUEL TV 10 Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira vs. Fabricio Werdum Fortaleza, Brazil
June 15 UFC 161 Renan Barao vs. Eddie Wineland Winnipeg, Manitoba
June 22 WBA Welterweight Title Paulie Malignaggi vs. Adrien Broner Brooklyn, N.Y.
July 6 UFC 162 Anderson Silva vs. Chris Weidman Las Vegas: MGM Grand Garden Arena
July 27 UFC on Fox 8 Demetrious Johnson vs. John Moraga Seattle
August 3 UFC 163 Jose Aldo vs. Anthony Pettis Rio de Janeiro

Most Popular