Las Vegas Sun

May 22, 2013

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Economists: Las Vegas poised for steady, sustainable growth

If Las Vegas and Southern Nevada can limp through the next two years, the region could see long-term economic growth rivaling the days before the Great Recession. The valley isn’t alone: the entire West could see steady and sustained economic growth after 2015, economists told local business leaders today during a meeting sponsored by UNLV at the M Resort in Henderson. “We’re still a long ways away from where we were in 2007, but we’re improving,” said Stephen Brown, director of UNLV’s Center for Business and Economic Research. “Our growth is slower than the rest of the nation but, of ...

Discussion: 5 comments so far…

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  1. Vegas might "limp" through the next year or year and a half but once obamacare starts strangling the nation in 2014 it will be back to the recession.

  2. "As long as we get visitors, we are going to get employment,"

    Do we really want to get excited over $10/hr jobs that qualify for govt handouts and encourages illegal immigration? If the economists are not going to qualify the job impacts with wages, the better metric to compare the cities' economies is their GDPs.

    The real story behind the economic recovery is that it will allow the politicians to stick their heads back into the sand when it comes to economic diversification and our 19th century tax structure.

  3. "Limp" being the operative word. Call us Limpy Las Vegas. "Prof." Brown is talking out of his behind, because UNLV administration wants to paint a rosy economic picture to push forward that overpriced arena that we cannot afford.

  4. Here's hoping "growth" means tourism growth, not population growth. We need to get back 22-to-1 ratio of annual visitors to permanent residents, and preferably a metro population of less than 1.5 million.

  5. It will be a long time before Vegas sees an economic explosion. Sorry but this town sucks.

  6. Like any big city, Las Vegas has good and bad. Can't beat the weather, the restaurants, the entertainment, good shopping. Grand Canyon, Zion, Death Valley, Valley of Fire....

    If you have a job (career) and make decent money, you will get a lot of home for your money in 2012. Vegas can be a fun place to live.

    The bad...Vegas draws in some of the most worthless scum of people, NLV and the lack of a diversified economy.

    You weigh the good and bad and make your own decisions. Stay or leave. You can't beat the dry Southwest weather. I'll take it any day over the humid east coast summer weather.

  7. It's a dry heat and I LOVE it. If you don't like it move. The Metro area will only increase because PHX and LAS have what the rest of the cities in the other areas don't have...affordable housing.

  8. Oh but then there's the housing market....how many houses are in foreclosure stalemate now and not coming out? We could have affordable housing in foreclosures but it's been stymied by the bill passed a year ago where banks might lose their shirts if they admit to financial wrong doing, and we all know banks never lose, even against the law. Instead they're sitting on upside down properties and our politicians act helpless to this disaster.

    Sorry...until the housing crisis in Vegas gets back to a sense of normalcy no amount of tourism will rework the valley's greater economic problems.

  9. Mr. Brown you're all over the place with your assesment. Back to 07 levels in 3-5 years? You're dreaming.

  10. The so-called "housing crisis" has little to do with the overall picture of economic growth and stability in Las Vegas. People do not have to own to live here and work here, and the visitors could care less who owns and who rents.

  11. Back to being a one horse town by 2015?

  12. James, the fault of the economy in 07/08 was that it relied heavily on tourism and housing/development. We're done with building for the most part, and we need to look at other avenues to strengthen the local economy. Sure tourists will always come here, it's Vegas. But, Vegas is promoting business moving here like Zappos and the down town project. We need more diversification to fill those houses with stable job holders.

    The housing market is key. Look at how badly it effected so many other sectors.

  13. Las Vegas has relied on tourism and (re)development as primary economic drivers for most of its history. The magic bullet of diversification will only ever be a minority percentage of our economic engine; seventy cents of every dollar spent here is derived from tourism, much as it always has been. You want diversification? Sure, go ahead and give it a whirl. But absolutely not at the expense of what we sell best here. As for the idea that "we're done with building for the most part" ... Well, I remember an almost 20-year period when no new resorts were built on the Strip. We survived that, too.

  14. Small businesses utilizing their the ability to draw tourists off the strip and encourage off-strip exploration is what will assure the growth in Las Vegas. Stable small businesses will fill the houses and start to rectify the economic situation here in Vegas. As things start to pick up, smaller non-gaming businesses need to focus ways to stay relevant to their customers. Application marketplaces like Essentialcloud.com, which is currently active in the Vegas market, provide smartphone applications and web services to the smaller guys so they can connect with potential customers without the budget constraints that existed in the past. I'm test-driving this service currently to explore the connection potential and try to stay current with our Facebook and Groupon obsessed society. I think this ability to connect will soon be the deciding factor in the success of the mom and pop shops. From what I have experienced so far companies like mine can see exponential growth by drawing out just a handful of connected visitors with the appropriate applications and social media placement. All it takes is one Facebook post or some positive social feedback and you have put out positive advertising to an entire friend list. Hopefully this will then translate into all those folks wanting to know what the buzz is about and coming to see for themselves the next time they are in town.

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