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January 25, 2015

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Damon Political Report

Mitt Romney leads in Nevada Republican presidential primary poll

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Mitt Romney visits with voters after he speaking to a crowded room of supporters at the Henderson Convention Center on Wednesday, Aug. 27, 2008.

Public Policy Polling is out today with one of the first early presidential primary polls in Nevada, showing former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney leading the early Republican pack.

The numbers aren’t much of a surprise. Romney was the only candidate to build a campaign organization in Nevada in 2008. He still has a strong following of invested supporters.

Interestingly, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin trails him by 13 percentage points, dispelling some of the notion that Nevada is a strong tea party state. Palin is seen as incredibly popular with the Republican base in Nevada, but not necessarily as a presidential candidate.

Romney leads Palin 31 percent to 19 percent. Newt Gingrich is in a close third with 18 percent and Mike Huckabee has 14 percent.

Romney’s strong lead has some strategists speculating that the other candidates will skip Nevada’s early primary in favor of building organizations in South Carolina or important Super Tuesday states.

But, again, it’s early.

Romney has a head start and his Nevada political operatives tell me he will likely compete strongly here again if he decides to get into the race. That doesn’t mean any of the other contenders couldn’t build their own organizations to give Romney a strong run.

And if anything is a given in presidential primaries, it’s that much can happen to completely change the dynamics of the race multiple times before caucus day.

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  1. The teaparty bigots in South Carolina and New Hampshire won't vote for a Mormon, sorry Mitt. Maybe you could bring up the "ground zero mosque?" But I don't think that will work. Weren't you for "Romneycare in Massachusetts? and isn't Massachusetts a "communist State?"

  2. President Obama and Mitt Romney are in a statistical tie in the latest nation-wide polls by both Public Policy Polling and The Wall Street Journal.

    Meanwhile, President Obama would beat Mrs. Palin, Speaker Gingrich and Governor Huckabee by double-digits.

    Romney's track record of success is well-documented, and his executive ability is unassailable. Expect the vitriol and bigoted comments about Romney to increase, precisely because he is the GOP's best shot at taking back the White House.

  3. Romney hasn't a chance. We all know what religious wingnuts do to us.

    Not many will vote for a guy who wears Magic Underwear...

  4. The only thing more incredible than that Mormon buffoon actually having credibility with voters here is that Huckabee is on the same list -- he's the one who said his first pick for vice president was the jesus. Or maybe it just proves Nevada's low ranking for smarts was accurate.

    "The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all the people." - Noam Chomsky

  5. Agree with Judy. NO shot.

    GREAT quote.

  6. Romney is too liberal. JOHN BOLTON for president. (He likely will not run, sadly)

  7. Gas Passer

    Here is a little lesson on our government: The incumbent president, ie the one in office, runs automatically. So the Republican candidate will be running against President Obama.