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February 11, 2012

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Report: Las Vegas existing home prices to continue slide

Prices won’t rise until fourth quarter of 2012, says Fiserv report

Thursday, July 29, 2010 | 3:32 p.m.

Las Vegas existing home prices will decline 14 percent by early 2011 and another 4 percent by early 2012, according to a report released today by a Wisconsin research firm.

The report by Fiserv runs counter to predictions from Las Vegas-based analysts who expect prices to remain stable over the next year.

Fiserv, which produces the Case-Shiller Indexes, calculates its prices differently than local analysts. It compares the same house sold over time rather than comparing the median prices of all homes over a set period of time.

Between first quarter of 2010 and first quarter of 2011, Fiserv projects the existing home price in Las Vegas will decline 14.6 percent. By the first quarter of 2012, prices will fall another 3.3 percent, Fiserv reported.

Fiserv Chief Economist David Stiff said high unemployment in Las Vegas and a large number of foreclosure properties will prompt prices to fall further.

Stiff said there won’t be an increase in Las Vegas until the fourth quarter of 2012 when prices will have risen 6 percent compared to the fourth quarter of 2011.

Earlier this week, Fiserv released its Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices report that showed that prices of existing homes in Las Vegas fell 6.5 percent between May 2009 and May 2010. Again, that index tracts the same home over time.

That contrasts to a report by Las Vegas-based SalesTraq that showed prices in May fell 1.4 percent between 2009 and 2010 to $122,847.

During the first quarter, Fiserv listed the median price in Las Vegas at $150,000, which represents a 55 percent decline from the first quarter of 2007.

In the nation as a whole, home prices rose 2 percent in the first quarter of 2010, the first year-over-year national gain since 2006, the firm reported.

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