Polls: Obama, Clinton Close in Iowa, NH
Friday, Dec. 28, 2007 | 2:04 a.m.
THE RACE: The presidential race for Democrats and Republicans in Iowa and New Hampshire.
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THE NUMBERS - DEMOCRATS
IOWA
Hillary Rodham Clinton, 29 percent
Barack Obama, 26 percent
John Edwards, 25 percent
Bill Richardson, 6 percent
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Barack Obama, 32 percent
Hillary Rodham Clinton, 30 percent
John Edwards, 18 percent
Bill Richardson, 5 percent
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THE NUMBERS - REPUBLICANS
IOWA
Mike Huckabee, 37 percent
Mitt Romney, 23 percent
John McCain, 11 percent
Fred Thompson, 11 percent
Rudy Giuliani, 6 percent
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Mitt Romney, 34 percent
John McCain, 21 percent
Rudy Giuliani, 14 percent
Mike Huckabee, 9 percent
Ron Paul, 6 percent
OF INTEREST: The New Hampshire poll showed the rapidly changing landscape for Democrats - with Obama and Clinton basically even there now after she led 35 percent to 16 percent in September. The Clinton campaign has considered New Hampshire something of a firewall since the race in Iowa is a three-way battle. But the poll suggests that Clinton - with higher marks on national security - could gain ground in both states if the public becomes concerned after the assassination Thursday in Pakistan of former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto.
Republicans in New Hampshire and Iowa consider McCain the GOP candidate best equipped to handle national security. The Iowa poll captured Huckabee's rapidly growing strength among born-again Christians and regular churchgoers in Iowa, but also among women and disaffected voters.
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The Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg News telephone poll was conducted Dec. 20-23 and Dec. 26 with 2,145 registered voters in Iowa and 1,279 in New Hampshire. The margin of sampling error among Democratic primary and caucus voters in both states was plus or minus 4 percentage points; for Republican caucus voters in Iowa it was 6 percentage points; for Republican voters in New Hampshire it was 5 points.
On the Net: http://www.latimes.com/media/acrobat/2007-12/34457997.pdf
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