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Carolyn Goodman has a prohibitively large lead over Chris Giunchigliani in the race for Las Vegas mayor as the contest comes to a close, moving out to an almost 24-point lead.
Those are the results of a poll taken during the last two days of likely voters in the city of Las Vegas by Strategic National, a robopolling outfit that already has gauged the race once before. The numbers:
Goodman: 53.2%
Giunchigliani: 29.5%
Undecided: 17.3%
The margin of error for the poll of 359 voters is just above 5 percent.
"It is very clear that Goodman is on track for a strong victory unless something dramatic changes very soon," said John Yob, CEO of Strategic National and who paid for the poll out of curiosity. "She has extended her lead from 14 points (48-34) to almost 24 points since we polled the race in early April. More importantly, she has moved passed the all-important 50 percent barrier that is critical for a candidate with incumbency advantages."
The only poll I know of that has shown the race anything other than a blowout is Giunchigliani's survey, conducted by national Democratic firm, Benenson Strategy Group, which showed the contest a toss-up a few weeks ago and is posted elsewhere on this blog. Benenson did nail the primary in March, showing Goodman winning by 2-to-1 over Giunchigliani and Larry Brown close behind. But this latest survey has to be disheartening for the commissioner, who needs a monumental turnout effort and the right voters turning out to pull off a huge upset.
The poll by the GOP firm does skew Republican -- the demographics show it is 37 percent Democratic and 33 percent Republican and the actual city breakdown is 46-32, Democratic. So if Democrats get out to vote and vote for one of their own -- Giunchigliani -- she might have a chance (although Goodman has a 10-point lead over Democrats in the poll).
Straw-grasping for her? Maybe.
Isn't he the Republican mastermind who bled the Sharron Angel campaign dry and drove it into a ditch? I look forward to Mr. Yob being right eventually. Insert old chestnut about broken clock here...
This is same firm who polled for Angle. It is a Republican firm who robodials. This poll can't be taken seriously. Plus he says he did it because he was "curious" come on.
Are you being harassed by Carolyn Goodman's phone calls. Each and every day my wife and I get a call from Carolyn Goodman's telephone volunteers. Each and every time I tell them to take me off their list. Each Goodman rep tells me they are taking me off the list. Yet the calls continue. The number one reason (among other reasons) I will NOT vote for Carolyn Goodman is the constant telephone harassment. If she can't control a simple thing like her telephone volunteers, she certainly isn't capable of running Las Vegas.
Additionally, yesterday's Goodman volunteer told me that on her list we are marked as "undecided". If what televol told me is true, there may be a good number of people out there who have told the poll they would NOT vote for Goodman, but then the volunteers mark the voter as "undecided".
The statistical information you read in the this article may not be accurate at no fault of the author. Garbage in, garbage out. Think for yourself when voting.
Hmmmm....it sounds like Goodman is giving Chris G. a good commie beating.
It's looking like we won't be seeing any portrait of Chairman Mao hanging up in the Mayors office.
Chris G is about to find out we are supposed to have a citizen government. 20 years makes her part of the problem. See ya!
Funny how she cries family values and has no kids. She says she will be fiscally responsible and votes every pay raise that comes up. Says she represents us and clearly represents the unions. She is the problem. Anyone would be a better vote than a union stooge.
Maybe Chris G. will give us all another public foul-mouthed rant when she loses.
"Maybe Chris G. will give us all another public foul-mouthed rant when she loses."
we can only hope.
Carolyn Goodman has always been the front runner, it was Chris G. who tried to falsify the polls. A man came to my door yesterday with a Chris G. flyer, I told him both my husband and I where voting for Carolyn Goodman, he did not say a word turned around and left, not even a good-bye....
Yiiipeeee for Carolyn Goodman she will be the future and "Mother To Las Vegas".......:-)
Is CG a man or a woman?
I am surprised Jon Ralston post this article at face value. A quote from John Yob, CEO of Strategic National and who paid for the poll out of curiosity. John Yob Paid for the poll out of curiosity? What? This article is a blatant attempt to keep people from going to the polls! This type of tactic has been used many times in poor communities to discourage people from voting, making people think their vote does not count! The race is over, so don't go vote! The great John Yob has spoken out of the goodness of his heart! Jon Ralston, really! You live in Las Vegas, what do you own to the Goodman, or John Yob?
Jon Ralston, you showed your true colors, they got to you somehow, didn't they!
@longtimevegan.... I had no problem voting yesterday at Albertson's... No one influenced me...
We have a choice of the "lesser of two evils." UGH!
I read that Bill Clinton wants Chris G. to win. Another reason to vote for Carolyn.
Is anyone giving out a dozen eggs?
Thank god, Could never imagine Vegas represented by Miss G, She has no personality,