9 Comments
Facebook
Fark
Digg
Reddit
Stumble
Published Saturday, Oct. 23, 2010 | 12:13 p.m.
Updated Saturday, Oct. 23, 2010 | 12:15 p.m.
The secretary of state's office has tallied all the early voting numbers, and the parties are about even. The Republicans, as they do in the urban counties, have a slight turnout edge statewide, about 2 percent. (If absentee ballots are included, the advantage switches to the Democrats by about 2,000 votes, but the turnout advantage is still slightly GOP.)
Some points:
1. The GOP had a 6 percent overall turnout advantage in Nevada four years ago. It was 3 percent in 2008. These numbers show no signs that the normal midterm turnout will be different.
2. Independents are turning out at a rate of about 10 percent -- less than the 14.5 percent for Democrats and 16.7 percent for Republicans. The state's nearly quarter-million voters not affiliated with either party remain the key to the election. They have always favored Sharron Angle, but by how much and how much will they turn out? And how much will each lose among their respective bases -- that is, how many Democrats won't vote for Harry Reid and how many Republicans will balk at Angle?
3. Keep a close eye on the second week of early voting. You would think if Republicans were enthusiastic, they would show an early spike not a late one -- as the Democrats did in '08. Two years ago, the Democrats started big and the Republicans cut the margin toward the end. Let's see what happens this year. If the GOP has a 4 or 5 percent lead by Friday, that could be ominous. But if not....
Link to the early voting totals:
Jon....have to commend you on a well written article. All aspects and factors were taken into consideration. Thank you
Mr. Ralston,
Thank you for sharing this infromation, I find it quite infromative, and by the way I really like the
link to the statewide early voting turnout report.
GREAT JOB!
Great Job. It tells it all...
Am I missing something? If these trends continue, she wins. This should frighten every supporter of Reid and hasten them to the Polls.
Maybe Harry Reid does not any supporters left to vote...
LarryVegas said...
"Maybe Harry Reid does not any supporters left to vote..."
???????????????????
The new health care law wasn't supposed to undercut employer plans that have provided most people in the U.S. with coverage for generations.
But last week a leading manufacturer told workers their costs will jump partly because of the law. Also, a Democratic governor laid out a scheme for employers to get out of health care by shifting workers into taxpayer-subsidized insurance markets that open in 2014.
While it's too early to proclaim the demise of job-based coverage, corporate number crunchers are looking at options that could lead to major changes.
"The economics of dropping existing coverage is about to become very attractive to many employers, both public and private," said Gov. Phil Bredesen, D-Tenn.
THANKS HARRY, GREAT WORK
yep this will save the employers a lot of money and in turn hire more or maybe not pass the rising cost on to the end user of there product and allow the Americans to compete globally again yep sounds like a good plan.
Someones been in the casino too long...