Tuesday, Nov. 9, 2010 | 2:12 p.m.
To be fair, the Las Vegas Review-Journal's polling outfit, Mason-Dixon Polling, came close in some races, but it spectacularly blew the calls in the major contests, including CD3 but especially the U.S. Senate race, where it consistently had Angle ahead in the final weeks and the pollster, Brad Coker, declared the weekend before the election, "I think the odds are pretty good that Angle's going to win."
But that wasn't the firm's worst result -- a few days before the election, it had Clark County District Attorney David Roger up by 31 points; he won by 4.
Since the "newspaper" won't do a full accounting, I will:
Race | Mason-Dixon (Oct. 29-31) | Actual (Nov. 2) | Difference |
---|---|---|---|
U.S. Senate | Angle by 4 | Reid by 6 | 10 |
CD3 | Heck by 10 | Heck by 1 | 9 |
Governor | Sandoval by 16 | Sandoval by 11 | 5 |
Lt. Governor | Krolicki by 21 | Krolicki by 9 | 12 |
AG | Cortez Masto by 13 | C-M by 17 | 4 |
Sec. of St. | Miller by 18 | Miller by 16 | 2 |
Treasurer | Marshall by 1 | Marshall by 4 | 3 |
Controller | Wallin by 6 | Wallin by 4 | 2 |
Sheriff | Gillespie by 38 | Gillespie by 30 | 8 |
DA | Roger by 31 | Roger by 4 | 27 |
Q1 | NO by 9 | NO by 16 | 7 |
Q2 | NO by 11 | NO by 6 | 5 |
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