By wplog

Published Saturday, Jan. 5, 2008 | 1:55 p.m.

Updated Thursday, Oct. 30, 2008 | 2:14 p.m.

CONCORD, N.H. -- Two new New Hampshire polls show the Iowa results are spilling over into New Hampshire: American Research Group gives Illinois Sen. Barack Obama a 12 point lead, while Rasmussen paints a 10 point spread.   Neither is the Gallup for accuracy, but it shows the movement.

On the ground, the polls feel right. Obama is playing to huge crowds, the biggest people around here have ever seen. Sen. Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, is chasing the "youth vote" in Durham, where the University of New Hampshire is. Such a move, on its face, looks very reactive -- OBama dominated these voters in Iowa.

Bear this in mind, however: There's a debate tonight, with fewer candidates on the stage. Clinton has more or less beaten Obama in most of the debates. She has a clearer grasp of policy than just about anyone in the country, and she's fluent and fluid in her extemperaneous speaking.

Obama will no doubt play it safe and make sure he doesn't make a Gerald Ford comment, ala, Eastern Europe is not under Soviet domination.

(Update)

Ben Smith of Sun partner Politico writes on his blog that he got an early look at the CNN/WMUR poll taken Jan. 4 and 5, and it shows a dead heat, with very little bounce out of Iowa for Obama.