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Sharron Angle trending up in public polling

Published Wednesday, Oct. 27, 2010 | 3:37 p.m.

Updated Wednesday, Oct. 27, 2010 | 4:27 p.m.

The fifth straight public poll showing Republican Sharron Angle with a small but growing lead (within the margin of error) over Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid was released today.

The polls technically show a continued statistical dead heat, but Angle is trending up.

The latest poll was released today by CNN/Time, which showed Angle with 49 percent support to Reid’s 45 percent.

The crosstabs show a dramatic drop in the number of none of the above voters—from 10 percent at the beginning of the month to just 3 percent this week. That could be an indication Republicans have succeeded in convincing voters that a none of the above vote would only help Reid. (In a race this close, it likely could help either candidate.)

The poll also indicates Reid has his base locked tighter than Angle. Many in Nevada’s Republican establishment have backed Reid, who has worked to convince all voters that Angle is too extreme in her conservative beliefs to be an effective Senator.

Perhaps in recognition of that base problem, Angle has been campaigning with national Republicans such as former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. And Elizabeth Crum first reported this morning that U.S. Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., will be campaigning for Angle in Las Vegas this week.

Caveat with all polls, of course: the accuracy depends on the sample used. And the sample demographics for the CNN/Time poll aren’t available.

Still, is this a late surge materializing?

UPDATE: A Democratic source is challenging the validity of the CNN/Time sample, arguing that an extrapolation of the numbers indicates the poll under samples Democrats and Republicans and over samples independents. And, as Las Vegas Sun columnist Jon Ralston also pointed out, the source argues that if early voting patterns remain consistent, Reid would be ahead because of his tighter lock on the base. So far, Democrats have a 1 percent turnout edge in raw numbers over Republicans in early voting.

Now, early voting patterns don't always reflect Election Day turnout. Republicans generally under perform in early voting. But this year they've been turning out in higher numbers during early voting than in past years.

Again, as the overused line goes, the only poll that counts is on Election Day.

Discussion: 57 comments so far...

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  1. Reid - the great destroyer of Nevada economy - the man who refused to help our seniors and burdened them with no cost of living, slashed Medicaid, luxury tax on heart pace makers,

    Reid - the great destroyer of home value; the one who loves to kick people out on the street and foreclose on their homes as he destroyed the job market with his health policies.

    Reid - the man who prioritizes illegals over citizens and to do so raises taxes hundreds of times without thought for them.

    Reid - who did not diversify the Nevada economy in his 30 years in senate.....

    Reid - whose health is failing and we need to worry about him.

    Reid - who took vacation and refused to work with business...except for those in his own family.

    Reid - who has a weird laugh whenever the unemployment numbers are published, relishing the fact that more people cannot find a job - although they want one.

    Reid - who has hurt every single Nevadan in the state.

    Good riddance

    Dump Reid; Save your Family.

  2. Reid's stimulous plan is a disaster - and he has done a lousy lousy job.....

    Time to just resign Reid - you're a lousy man - you are a fool; your policies are foolish and hurtful and mean and stupid.

    Reid - a slimy worm who cannot work with anyone - would you invite this man to your children's school?
    Obviously not - as we don't invite liars to talk to our children.

    What a jerk Reid - what a fool - what a terrible man.
    Good riddance Reid.

  3. FLAG, U Not The BRIGHTEST BULB, on the TREE!!
    It's Hard to believe that this DIMWIT Angle,
    can unseat the Majority Leader Of The Senate!!!
    I don't believe that the Collective Intellegence of Nevadans, has Fallen to a Level to that can let this happen!!!
    Stay Tuned

  4. To those of you foolish enough to think that Angle represents your interests; you are wrong as she doesn't even speak to the open public or to the press. Historically, even the most cruel man in modern history was elected by the public; so think before you vote for an extremist.
    Angle pretends that she is for the common, middle class, American; wrong, wrong, wrong. As an example, look at the tax example below, however, everything else she stands for deprives the middle class of health care, social security, veteran benefits and education.

    Here is the truth about taxes:
    For historical Top Tax Rate see,
    http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxfacts/...

    (Years) Approximate % Tax Rate
    (1951-63) 91

    (1964-81) 70

    (1982-86) 50

    (1988-92) 30

    (1993-2002) 39

    2003-Present 35 (This is for income greater than $373,651+/yr.)

    or see http://www.truthandpolitics.org/top-rate...
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Income_tax_...

    The increased tax is about 4% for people making over $250,000/yr and no increase in taxes for people making less.

    So, the only thing Wrong Angle is telling you is a lie about this increase in taxes for all the people. The richer got taxed more for a reason; so that they would not sit on the money but invest it in the economy, and not put it in a bank.

    The only thing the Tea Party stands for is the deception of the middle class, again, under a new disguise.
    The original Boston Tea Party was mainly because of Taxation without Representation (In the British Parliament); which is not the case at present as if we, the public, really wanted to we can remove each and every politician through our political process if we choose to do so at any given time through due legal process.

  5. These Tea Party Folks, have no conception of History or Reality!!!
    Their the Victim,of the Last Idiot that they talk to!!!

  6. Just remember who got us into this mess. It was the rethuglicans and karl rove. Before you vote for tea party rethuglican sharon angle you better think long and hard. She will take us backwards in time. We need to move forwards to keep up with the changing world.

    Remember she wants to do away with Social Security, Medicare, Dept. of Education, Agriculture, and just about anything else they can do away with. Especially Women need to vote!!!!!!!

    And so do Hispanics. She will probably send anyone with Hispanic blood back to South America.

    She is far to scary to be a serious candidate. Wake up Nevada. Harry Reid is the only Choice for Nevada!!!!!

  7. Electing Angle is like blowing a hole in your leaking boat to let the water out...

  8. The part I find most interesting about the whole debate is that Ms. Angle has almost as much contempt for the Republican party as she does for the Democrats. Just listen to the recordings in her own voice.

    Now connect the dots...

    She has contempt for the Democrats, just over half the population of Nevada.

    She has shown her contempt for the Republicans, almost 50% of the population of Nevada.

    She pledged her alliance to the Tea-Party, a small but vocal minority.

    Who does she really represent?

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